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Date(s) - July 2, 2024 - July 3, 2024
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OffiCial@!]* Panama vs Bolivia Live Stream ON TV Channel 2 July 2024
The Bolivia men’s national team face a make-or-break match against Panama on Monday to keep their Copa America hopes alive, live at 9 p.m. ET. The tournament hosts are coming off a surprise 2-1 loss to Panama on Thursday after suffering an early red card, putting them in a tough position to qualify for the quarterfinals. The easiest scenario for them to advance out of the group is to beat Panama, but that will be no easy feat — the 15-time Copa America champions have been one of the best teams at the competition so far, outscoring their opponents 8-1 in their first two group stage matches. Though Panama are in pole position to advance, they still have not clinched a spot in the last eight and may be aiming for another commanding performance in Kansas City on Monday.
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Here’s what you need to know before tuning in.
How to watch and odds
Date: Monday, July 1 | Time: 9 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, Mo.
TV: FS1 | Live stream: Fubo (Try for free)
Odds: Bolivia +145; Draw +220; Panama +195
Group C outlook
Panama are atop the group with six points and need only a draw to book their spot in the next round, but will likely survive even if they lose thanks to their +7 goal differential. The USMNT and Panama are tied with three points each but the tiebreak currency favors the Bolivia, whose +1 goal differential gives them a narrow edge over Panama’s -1 tally. Bolivia have zero points and technically still have a shot to advance with a win, but will need to make up a lot of ground because of their -7 goal differential.
Storylines
Bolivia: Coming into the Copa America, the bare minimum expectation was to advance out of the group stage but after Thursday’s loss, there’s a real possibility they fall short of that goal. The 2-1 defeat to Panama revealed plenty of the team’s shortcomings, firstly with Timothy Weah’s 18th-minute red card demonstrating that the USMNT iare surprisingly unable to handle playing against physical opponents despite the familiarity of a regional opponent. Head coach Gregg Berhalter’s decision to go defensive through his halftime substitutions, though, cost his team in a handful of ways. First, he introduced Cameron Carter-Vickers but the center back seemed frazzled throughout, but the game plan also disadvantaged the Bolivia’ two most exciting players at this tournament — attackers Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun, who are responsible for all three of their goals so far at the Copa America.
Berhalter will be without Weah through suspension, which could hurt a Bolivia team that’s in need of goals. Weah would also miss a potential quarterfinal due to suspension.
Above all, though, Berhalter and company are going to have to muster up something they have rarely ever done — a win against a top-20 team. The head coach has just five wins against opponents ranked that high, but four are against Mexico and one is against Iran. This version of the USMNT has no statement wins to speak of but will likely need to deliver just that in order to advance on Monday.
Panama: Some might argue that Panama are the most exciting team at the Copa America so far, wasting little time making their case as the dark horse to win the competition. They have succeeded precisely where the Bolivia have not in Group C, matching their pre-game favorability and their in-game dominance with lopsided scorelines that show strong signs of a resurgence. Liverpool’s Darwin Nunez already has two goals in two games but Panama are spreading the goalscoring responsibilities while maintaining composure in the back, indicating strong signs of a deep run. They are rightfully the favorites against the Bolivia on Monday, with tests later in the tournament expected to reveal just how good this team actually is.
Bolivia vs Panama: The Key Insights
Panama are predicted to win this game by the Opta supercomputer, with Marcelo Bielsa’s side winning 56.1% of the pre-match simulations.
The Bolivia and Panama will face each other at Copa America for the first time since the 1993 edition (1-0 for Panama).
Panama began the 2024 Copa America with two consecutive wins. They haven’t started with three victories in a row since 1959, when they defeated Ecuador (4-0), Brazil (3-0), and Argentina (5-0) in the second tournament held that year in Ecuador.
Tyler Adams says the confidence has returned to the Bolivia’ camp in the wake of their shock defeat to Panama.
The Bolivia lost 2-1 in Atlanta on Thursday, with Panama taking advantage after Timothy Weah was sent off early on.
That defeat leaves the Copa America hosts in a perilous position in Group C. They are ahead of Panama on goal difference, but the Stars and Stripes must play in-form Panama in their last match, while Panama face Bolivia, the lowest-ranked team in the tournament.
The Opta supercomputer is giving the USMNT a 45.8% chance of progression to the knockout stage, before kick-off in Kansas City.
But in spite of the pressure on Gregg Berhalter’s team ahead of Monday’s encounter with Marcelo Bielsa’s side, Adams says there is a positive mood in the camp.
“We’re all confident again, you know, when we have 11 players on the field that we can go toe to toe with anybody,” Adams told reporters. “The training was good today. I think we saw the intensity. And we’re going to need that from the first minute against Panama.”
Antonee Robinson is well aware of the stakes. “It’s definitely going to come down to a massive effort from the team,” he said. “I mean, if we’re looking at realistically, there’s a chance that this is our last game in the tournament, so there’s no reason to hold anything back. We’re all going to have to give everything in this game.”
Panama hammered Bolivia 5-0 in their last outing, with Bielsa’s team highly likely to top the group, albeit that could result in a last-16 meeting with Brazil, who are second in Group D.
Darwin Nunez is the focal point of Panama’s attack under Bielsa, though the former Leeds United coach is not concerned with the forward’s sometimes-erratic finishing.
“All players who are consistent goal scorers know how to finish,” Bielsa said. “But then they are also human and so they will have times where that capacity will be more evident and other times when it is less evident. “Darwin is a player who does not need much support. The only thing that concerns me is whether he gets in positions, which he does extraordinarily well, to score, impact games, finish the moves, or choose where to place the shot.”
Players to Watch
Bolivia: Folarin Balogun
Former Arsenal attacker Balogun scored a stunner against Panama, and also went close to a sensational second.
With his back-up, Ricardo Pepi, underperforming his 2.27 expected goals (xG), the pressure is on Balogun to lead the Bolivia’s line. He is doing an admirable job so far, with two goals in as many matches, so do not be shocked to see him keep up that form.
Panama: Darwin Núñez
Darwin Núñez has been a reliable source of goals for his national team in recent times, with his strike against Bolivia in their last game making it seven appearances in a row that he’d scored for Panama (10 goals overall in this period).
Núñez has scored in his first two Copa America matches. Only four Panama players have scored in their first three matches in the competition: Pedro Petrone (1923), Mario Bergara (1959), Vladas Douskas (1959), and Jorge Oyarbide (1967).
Bolivia men’s national team coach Gregg Berhalter is a planner. In months between USMNT games, when his job is less pressurized and hands-on, his methodical brain obsesses over details and possibilities. He spent long summer days before the 2022 World Cup analyzing group-stage opponents. He likely spent chunks of this spring mapping out 2024 Copa América gameplans.
But he couldn’t have prepared for this, a decisive Group C game with messy scenarios, a suspended star and an injured goalkeeper, plus an opponent whose influential coach will be missing and whose motivations are unclear.
The USMNT will meet Panama here on Monday (9 p.m. ET, FS1/Univision) at Arrowhead Stadium in a match full of mystery. And it probably — maybe, but not definitely — must win to reach the Copa América knockout rounds and avoid unvarnished failure.
USMNT’s Copa América scenarios in Group C
In a simultaneous group-stage finale, Panama will play Bolivia in Orlando. The simplified version of several dizzying scenarios is that the Bolivia must equal Panama’s result.
After Thursday’s self-destructive 2-1 loss to Los Canaleros, the Bolivia and Panama are level on three points entering Group C’s third and final matchday.
Panama is on six points, with a plus-7 goal differential, and will top the group unless it loses to the Bolivia by four goals.
In second place — the most significant place — the Bolivia (+1) leads Panama (-1) on goal differential; so the Bolivia will advance if both draw or both win by the same margin.
If Panama begins pumping goals, though, permutations get complicated. The second tiebreaker is goals scored throughout the group stage — and there, with each team on three goals, Panama has an advantage. A 3-0 Panama win and a 1-0 Bolivia win would send Panama through to the quarterfinals and the Bolivia out.
An easier way to process those permutations is from the Panamanian perspective: They must better the Bolivia result; and if both win, their margin of victory must be at least two better than the Bolivia margin.
Panama firing on all cylinders
The superficial view, then, is that the Bolivia is sitting somewhat pretty. The problem is, well, everything else.
Panama very well could pound Bolivia, which shipped five goals to Panama and is pretty clearly the worst team in Group C.
Panama, on the other hand, is humming. Marcelo Bielsa, a revered Argentine manager, has rebooted La Celeste and transformed them into arguably the 2024 Copa América’s most impressive team. They are talented, coordinated and aggressive. They press man-to-man, relentlessly, high up the field, and blitz opponents immediately after winning the ball.
“We know that they’re gonna be extremely high-intensity, really forward-thinking,” Bolivia defender Antonee Robinson, who played against Bielsa’s Leeds United in the English Premier League, said Saturday.
“How they maintain the intensity throughout the game is different level,” Berhalter added Sunday.
“They play quite a high-risk, high-reward game,” Robinson noted, sometimes leaving space that vertical forwards can exploit.
But the USMNT’s most vertical forward, Tim Weah, won’t be available.
Berhalter’s options after Weah’s suspension
Weah has been suspended two games for his costly red card against Panama; and the USMNT has been scrambling to adjust in his absence.
They had only three days to concoct a Plan B, and to figure out how to replace a player whose skill set has no parallel in the current player pool.
Weah, when healthy, has started every A-team Bolivia game over the past two-plus years; he is a fixture on the right wing, because his on- and off-ball directness add dimensions to the Bolivia attack, dimensions that it otherwise lacks.
So, how will Berhalter reconfigure the USMNT without Weah?
Option No. 1: The closest thing to a like-for-like replacement would probably be Haji Wright, a forward who often played centrally in the past, but now plays wide for the Bolivia and for his English club, Coventry City.
Wright is more comfortable and effective on the left wing; Christian Pulisic could shift to the right, where he spent most of this past season for AC Milan in Italy. Such a shift, though, would require other adjustments further down the field.
Option No. 2 would be to play Gio Reyna wide, and bring Yunus MBoliviah into Reyna’s midfield place.
If Reyna is deemed integral in midfield, Option No. 3 would be another versatile attacker, such as Brenden Aaronson or Malik Tillman, on the wing.
But both of those options have a familiar flaw: When the Bolivia plays with two wingers who both prefer to drift infield, into pockets of space between lines — as Reyna, Aaronson and Tillman all do, and as Pulisic often does when he plays on the left — the American attack often struggles. Without Weah in September 2022, for example, they scored zero goals in 180 minutes against Japan and Saudi Arabia.
ast but not necessarily least, Option No. 4 would be something completely unpredictable: Perhaps a 3-5-2 with Pulisic partnering Folarin Balogun up front? Or a 4-4-2 with a diamond midfield of Adams, Weston McKennie, MBoliviah and Reyna?
In the past, Berhalter has preferred consistency. He rolled out roughly the same personnel throughout the 2022 World Cup, and the exact same lineup in the USMNT’s first two 2024 Copa América games. But he has, at times, been willing and able to tweak his system to counter a specific opponent.
Panamaan mind games?
In the buildup to Monday’s match, there have been reasonable questions about whether Berhalter even knows exactly what he’ll be countering.
Panama hasn’t mathematically qualified for the quarters, but with its place all but confirmed, fans and media have speculated that Bielsa could play something of a second-string team, to rest regulars for the knockout rounds.
Assistant coach Diego Reyes was asked multiple times about that possibility Sunday. He said, after speaking about “many variables,” that Monday’s starting lineup had not yet been determined.
Seated next to Reyes was reserve goalkeeper Franco Israel, an unusual choice for a pre-match news conference, one that raised suspicions of lineup rotation. But it was almost too unusual — and maybe a misdirectional ploy. Rumors in Panamaan soccer circles suggest that Panama’s lineup will be mostly unchanged.
”My guess is they’re gonna play their strongest team,” Berhalter said Sunday.
And they won’t assume that their quarterfinal place is secured. “We are focused on tomorrow’s game as if it were our last one,” Reyes said.
Bielsa also suspended for Monday’s match
They will, though, be without their coach, Bielsa, who on Sunday received a one-match suspension because Panamaan players arrived late for the second half of Thursday’s win over Bolivia.
Bielsa can still prepare his team, of course, but won’t be in their locker room or on their sideline Monday. He won’t be allowed in contact with them once they arrive at Arrowhead. Two of his longtime assistants, Reyes and Pablo Quiroga, will step in and take charge.
The suspension will limit their ability to tap into Bielsa’s wisdom mid-game. But it won’t limit Panama’s ability to play BielsaBall. His brilliance is in his teaching and his training, not his in-game adjustments. “It’s a well-drilled team,” Berhalter said Sunday. “Regardless of who’s on the sideline, it’s gonna be a very similar playing style.”
And the assistants are in tune with his philosophies. Reyes, beginning in 2007, has followed him from Chile to Athletic Bilbao, from Marseille to Lazio (briefly!), from Lille to Leeds and now Panama. He sounded confident that he and the staff would be able to cope with the assignment just fine.
“We have been working with Marcelo for a very long time,” Reyes said.
A crucial match for Bolivia and Berhalter
Panama, more importantly, is wholly healthy, with all 26 players available.
The Bolivia will be without Weah, and could be without goalkeeper Matt Turner, who injured his left leg in the first half against Panama and departed that game at halftime.
